Technique Masterclasses

Statistics 1

Topic Brief: Show That Answer Discipline

SIGNAL Topic Master Brief — "Show That" Answer Discipline (WST01, cross-cutting; spec 2.3/2.4/4.1/5.3/6.1)

Provenance (2026-09-29): built from research/veridian/WST01-verified-facts.md (grepped for "show that", "showing your working", "cso" and "A1*"), the live lesson content/veridian/curriculum/wst01/show-that-answer-discipline.ts, and the per-lesson audit-log entries inside four sibling curriculum files — expectation-and-variance-of-linear-transformations.ts, paper-anatomy.ts, discrete-random-variables-probability-function.ts, and outliers-boxplots-comparing-distributions.ts — where a real "show that" instance surfaced during that lesson's own audit. Cross-checked against codex-deep-dive-show-that-answer-discipline.md and signal-frequency-and-boundaries.md so this document does not restate either: two of the four question-level citations below (Jun 2024 Q2(b); Jan 2023 Q5(d)) do not appear in CODEX's own synthesis table, and this document's headline frequency count is deliberately stricter than CODEX's (§1). No new PDF fetches were made.

1. Frequency — seen in 3 of 6 series checked, not 4

The facts bank has a fully-read Principal Examiner's Report for 6 of the 14 WST01 series with a verified mark scheme: Jun 2019, Jan 2021, Oct 2021, Jun 2022, Jan 2023, Jun 2024. A confirmed "show that" (or equivalent printed-target) instance is directly evidenced in 3 of those 6: Oct 2021, Jan 2023, Jun 2024.

This is narrower than the CODEX deep-dive's own "confirmed in 4 of the 6," which also counts Jan 2021 — but Jan 2021's contribution there is the converse case (an ordinary, non-"show that" part where a bare answer legitimately scores full marks, conditional on precision), not an instance of the discipline being tested or failed. That case is real and relevant background (§5), but it is not itself a "show that" citation, so this brief counts it separately rather than folding it into the headline frequency. Jun 2019 and Jun 2022 have no confirmed instance in either document.

2. What was actually tested, by series

Two further citations are named but too thin to build into this frequency count: Jan 2023 Q3(a)/Q4(i)(a) ("algebra") and Jun 2024 Q3(c) ("coding") are each named once, in the facts bank's own cross-cutting synthesis paragraph, with no surviving verbatim quote anywhere else in either source.

3. Mark-tariff pattern

Wherever a mark count is confirmed, this discipline attaches to a small, self-contained sub-part inside a larger multi-part question, never a whole standalone question: Q6(a), 3 marks (2 M + 1 A1cso); Q2(b), 3 marks inferred as above; Q5(d), 3 marks (M1, A1ft, A1*). Q3(b)/(c) and Q4(c) have no confirmed individual mark count in either source, so none is stated here. On the parts with a full breakdown, risk concentrates in the last mark specifically — an A1cso or A1* — not spread evenly: a correct method with an under-precise or unsupported final line loses one mark, not the whole part.

4. Recurring context/angle across the confirmed series

This discipline is genuinely cross-cutting by spec section: confirmed in Section 2 (interpolation/ outliers), Section 4 (regression), Section 5 (discrete random variables) and Section 6 (Normal distribution) — four of the paper's six spec sections. It has no confirmed instance in Section 3 (probability, conditional probability, tree/Venn diagrams) across the facts bank or the thirteen live curriculum files checked here — a genuine absence in the record, not proof it never applies there — nor in Section 1, which the facts bank separately confirms has no standalone question at all. Two failure shapes recur: an intermediate step or table value skipped, or rounded to the target's own precision instead of one place beyond it (Q6(a); Q4(c)); and a reverse-engineered or incomplete result — numbers invented to match a given gap (Q3(b)), or a correct boundary never followed through to a stated count (Q3(c)).

5. If this topic appears, here's what to expect

Expect a printed target buried inside a larger multi-part question, worth 2–3 of that part's marks, not a standalone question of its own. One habit covers every confirmed variant: never let the working stop at the printed target's own precision, and never let the final line appear without every step that forces it — a standardisation, an interpolation, a named count — shown explicitly on the page. Related but distinct: on an ordinary (non-"show that") part, a bare final answer can legitimately score full marks — confirmed on Jan 2021 Q3(a) ("Ans only 3/3") — but only when it already carries the precision the mark scheme demands ("23.6" vs "awrt 23.60," Q3(b)); that allowance never extends to a part where the target itself is printed in the question.

Sources and limitations