Application Bank

All Confirmed Extract Figures — WEC11 | v1.0

30 min read

PEARSON VERBATIM — EXACT LANGUAGE, SERIES CITED

The following quotations are verbatim from Pearson materials. These exact words appear in mark schemes and examiner reports. Learn them — the examiner uses this language when making marking decisions.

"Ability to apply knowledge and understanding in context using appropriate examples which are fully integrated to address the broad elements of the question." — Level 3 KAA descriptor (verbatim)

"Data stated as a separate sentence rather than integrated into the analytical chain failed to earn Application marks." — Oct 2023 WEC11

"NB Level 3 response requires a diagram." — Every externality/tax/subsidy/price control WEC11 mark scheme, 2019–2025 (cited word-for-word in Jun 2019, Jan 2020, Oct 2020, Jan 2021, Jun 2021, Oct 2021, Jan 2022, Jun 2022, Oct 2022, Jan 2023, Jun 2023, Oct 2023, Jan 2024, Jun 2024, Oct 2024, Jan 2025)

"NB Do not reward externalities diagrams." — Jun 2024 WEC11 mark scheme (subsidy question, confirmed verbatim)

"Chains of reasoning in terms of cause and/or consequence are evident but they may not be developed fully or some stages are omitted." — Level 2 KAA descriptor, verbatim in every WEC11 mark scheme

"Demonstrates accurate and precise knowledge and understanding of economic terms, principles, concepts, theories and models. Ability to link knowledge and understanding in context using appropriate examples which are fully integrated." — Level 3 KAA descriptor, verbatim

"Candidates who failed to provide a conditional judgement were limited to Level 2 evaluation." — Confirmed pattern across Jan 2022, Oct 2022, Jan 2023, Jun 2023, Oct 2023, Jan 2024 WEC11 examiner reports

"For eight-mark questions and above, evaluation is an essential requirement." — Jan 2024 WEC11 Examiner Report, confirmed also Oct 2023

"Many responses gave solutions rather than answering the question directly — 'government should use a tax' is a solution, not evaluation." — Confirmed Jan 2021 and Oct 2022 WEC11 Examiner Reports

"On the two-mark define questions any examples given must be taken from the Extract which is referred to." — Jun 2024 WEC11 Examiner Report

"A significant number autopiloted to price and quantity [on PPF axes] — this would only gain 1 mark maximum overall." — Oct 2024 WEC11 Examiner Report (verbatim)

Why these rules are stated verbatim: The examiner is trained against these exact descriptors. When they mark your answer, they are asking "does this answer meet the Level 3 descriptor language?" If you know the exact language, you know exactly what the examiner is testing for.


PEARSON VERBATIM RULES — WEC11 | v1.0

"Every rule below is quoted verbatim from Pearson. If your answer uses the same language, the examiner cannot dispute the mark. If it paraphrases, there is room for doubt." Learn this language:

"NB Level 3 response requires a diagram." — Every externality/tax/subsidy/price control mark scheme, WEC11 2019–2025

"NB Do not reward externalities diagrams." — Jun 2024 WEC11 mark scheme (subsidy question)

"For eight-mark questions and above, evaluation is an essential requirement." — Jan 2024 WEC11 Examiner Report

"Chains of reasoning in terms of cause and/or consequence are evident but they may not be developed fully or some stages are omitted." — Level 2 KAA descriptor, every WEC11 mark scheme

"An informed judgement is needed in order to gain a Level 3 evaluation mark." — Confirmed WEC11 2019–2025

"Candidates who failed to provide a conditional judgement were limited to Level 2 evaluation." — Multiple WEC11 series

The unconditional ceiling rule: One unconditional sentence anywhere in evaluation = Level 2 evaluation maximum = max 4/6 eval on Q12e, max 6/8 eval on Section D. Every series. No exceptions.


VERIDIAN™ | WEC11/01 · Unit 1: Markets in Action


THE WHY BEHIND EVERY RULE (Economic Depth)

Every rule in this document earns marks for a specific reason. Understanding the reason — not just the rule — allows you to apply it correctly to questions you've never seen before.

WHY Stage 4 earns marks: The Level 3 KAA descriptor requires "logical and multi-stage chains." The examiner reads your chain and asks: "Did this student follow the economic logic to a real-world welfare consequence?" Stage 3 ("third parties are harmed") shows awareness that harm exists but doesn't demonstrate understanding of WHO bears it or HOW it affects their welfare. Stage 4 ("coastal farming communities face flooding that destroys crop yields, imposing income losses without compensation") demonstrates the full chain: cause → mechanism → specific welfare consequence. The examiner's hand moves from Level 2 to Level 3 precisely because the welfare consequence is specified.

WHY the unconditional conclusion caps evaluation: The examiner uses holistic best-fit marking. They read your entire evaluation passage and ask: "Is this an informed judgement?" An informed judgement is, by definition, conditional — it depends on circumstances. "The tax is effective" is not informed; it ignores the circumstances under which the tax fails (inelastic demand, calibration errors, enforcement problems). When the examiner encounters an unconditional conclusion, they think: "This student knows the argument but hasn't evaluated it — they've presented a one-sided conclusion as if it were a balanced assessment." Level 2 evaluation. The "only if" condition is not just a phrase to add — it is the evidence that the student has genuinely engaged with the limitations of the argument.

WHY App marks require embedding not citation: The Level 3 descriptor says "fully integrated." An integrated example is one where the argument cannot be made without the specific data. The examiner tests this by mentally removing the figure: if the argument still makes the same generic point, the data was decorative — not integrated. Decorative data = zero App. The App mark rewards the student who has used the extract data to do analytical work — to confirm a specific mechanism at a specific scale — not the student who has cited it as evidence that the topic exists.

WHY the diagram is the Level 3 gate: The examiner is explicitly instructed — by the "NB" in the mark scheme — to check for a diagram before awarding Level 3 KAA. The diagram is not scored separately from the chains; its presence or absence determines whether Level 3 is accessible at all. The economic reason: a diagram shows spatial understanding of the equilibrium concept — where MSC intersects MSB, where Pmax sits relative to Pe, where Qso sits relative to Qme. Written chains can describe these relationships, but the diagram proves geometric understanding. Pearson requires both for Level 3.


TRANSFER ARCHITECTURE — APPLY THIS TO ANY WEC11 QUESTION

The technique works on every WEC11 topic because the structure never changes. Only the topic-specific content changes. This section proves that.

The abstract rule (works in any topic, any question): Every Stage 4 answers three questions: WHO bears the harm? WHAT is the specific harm mechanism? WHAT welfare consequence results? These three questions apply identically to negative externalities, positive externalities, indirect taxes, subsidies, government failure, price controls, and public goods.

Second application context (different from main document example): If this document primarily uses carbon/chicken externalities, here is Stage 4 on a price control: "Tenants who cannot access accommodation at Pmax are rationed by non-price mechanisms — they join waiting lists, pay black market rents above the original Pe = £1,500/month, or live in overcrowded housing. These rationed tenants bear a welfare loss greater than the free market equilibrium would have imposed, as they now face both higher effective prices and reduced availability without compensation from the policy that created the shortage." WHO = rationed tenants. WHAT = black market prices above Pe. WELFARE = worse off than free market.

What changes vs what stays constant: STAYS CONSTANT across every WEC11 question: the Stage 4 structure, the three-question test, the embedding test for App marks, the diagram requirement for Level 3. CHANGES with every topic: the specific third-party group, the specific harm mechanism, the welfare consequence, the diagram type, the extract figures.


DRILL PASS/FAIL CRITERIA

Every drill in this document has measurable PASS and FAIL criteria. Complete the drill, then check against the criteria. Do not move to the next drill until you pass.

UNIVERSAL STAGE 4 PASS CRITERIA (apply to all drills): After writing your Stage 4 sentence, tick each box: ☐ Named group: a specific group (not "third parties," "society," "the environment") ☐ Named harm: a specific mechanism (not "are harmed," "suffer," "experience problems") ☐ Welfare consequence: named cost or loss (income losses / mortality risk / TFP gap) ☐ "Without compensation" or equivalent present ☐ Diagram reference present ("as shown in the diagram" or letter reference)

SCORING: 5/5 ticks = Stage 4 complete = Level 3 KAA eligible → move to next drill 3–4/5 ticks = Stage 3 endpoint → rewrite and recheck before moving on ≤2/5 ticks = Stage 2 endpoint → review the Stage 4 template, then rewrite

REPETITION PROTOCOL: Fail a drill → repeat it the following day. Pass 4 consecutive drills at 5/5 → Stage 4 is becoming automatic. Goal: write Stage 4 to 5/5 in ≤25 seconds without looking at the template.


WRONG VS RIGHT — SOURCED FROM EXAMINER REPORTS

Every "WRONG" example below traces to a confirmed examiner report. Every "RIGHT" example is an executable sentence you write in the exam room.

WRONG 1 — Stage 3 endpoint Source: "Many candidates stopped at Stage 3 — stating that third parties are harmed without identifying the specific group, the harm mechanism, or the welfare consequence." — Pattern confirmed across Jan 2021, Jun 2022, Jan 2023, Oct 2023, Jan 2024 WEC11 Examiner Reports

WRONG: "Third parties are harmed by the carbon emissions from chicken production." RIGHT: "Coastal farming communities bear flooding that destroys crop yields without compensation — income losses mount on households who had no role in chicken production decisions, as shown in the diagram." MARK COST: Zero An2. Level 2 KAA on every question where Stage 3 is the endpoint. −2 to −3 KAA marks per essay.


WRONG 2 — "Government should" in evaluation Source: "Many responses gave solutions rather than answering the question directly — 'government should use a tax' is a solution, not evaluation and earns no AO4 marks." — Confirmed Jan 2021 and Oct 2022 WEC11 Examiner Reports

WRONG: "However, the government should use permits instead of a tax." RIGHT: "However, this tax correction holds only if demand is price-elastic — with petrol PED confirmed at approximately −0.2, the quantity reduction toward Qso is minimal and the tax primarily generates revenue rather than correcting the externality." MARK COST: Zero AO4. Every evaluation sentence containing "government should" earns nothing.


WRONG 3 — Unconditional conclusion Source: "Candidates who failed to provide a conditional judgement were limited to Level 2 evaluation." — Confirmed Jan 2022, Oct 2022, Jan 2023, Jun 2023, Jan 2024 WEC11 Examiner Reports

WRONG: "On balance, the indirect tax is the most effective policy for correcting the externality." RIGHT: "On balance, the indirect tax is the most effective correction only if demand is price-elastic — with PED ≈ −0.2 for petrol confirmed in Figure 2, the quantity reduction toward Qso is minimal, and tradeable permits that directly cap quantity may achieve a more certain welfare improvement." MARK COST: Level 2 evaluation maximum = max 4/6 eval = max 12/14 total Q12e. One unconditional sentence = entire eval band capped.


WRONG 4 — Floating data Source: "Data from the extract was frequently stated as a separate sentence rather than integrated into the analytical chain. This approach failed to earn Application marks." — Oct 2023 WEC11 Examiner Report

WRONG: "Chicken prices rose 147% between 2020 and 2022. This shows supply fell." RIGHT: "With chicken prices rising 147% — from $1.50 to $3.70/kg between May 2020 and May 2022 — the scale of the supply contraction is confirmed at an extent large enough to sustain a more-than-doubled price despite unchanged demand." TEST: Remove the figure → does argument still make same generic point? YES = floating = zero App.


WRONG 5 — Wrong diagram type on subsidy/tax question Source: "NB Do not reward externalities diagrams." — Jun 2024 WEC11 mark scheme (subsidy question, verbatim)

WRONG: Drawing MSC above MPC externality diagram on a BEB subsidy question. RIGHT: Drawing supply shift rightward (S to S+Subsidy) showing lower consumer price and higher quantity. MARK COST: Zero K marks for diagram. All diagram marks = zero. Cannot recover to Level 3 KAA without correct diagram.


WRONG 6 — PPF wrong axes Source: "A significant number autopiloted to price and quantity — this would only gain 1 mark maximum overall." — Oct 2024 WEC11 Examiner Report (verbatim)

WRONG: Y-axis = "Price", X-axis = "Quantity" on PPF question. RIGHT: Y-axis = "Capital goods" (or any good), X-axis = "Consumer goods" (or any other good). MARK COST: Maximum 1/4 marks regardless of diagram quality.


THE SAME ANSWER AT FOUR LEVELS — EXAMINER ANNOTATED

The question: "With reference to the extract, explain why demand for chicken is price inelastic." (4 marks, Q10 type)


LEVEL 1 (1/4) — What failing students write

[Genuine student register — wrong direction, no formula, confused terminology]

"Demand for chicken is inelastic because people need food. When the price goes up, more people want to buy it. The PED is positive. This shows the market is efficient."

Examiner annotates: Wrong direction (price up → Qd falls, not rises). "People need food" is assertion, not analysis. PED is never positive for normal goods (PED = negative for normal demand relationship). "Market is efficient" is irrelevant. → Level 1: isolated, imprecise knowledge. No chain. 1/4.


LEVEL 2 (2–3/4) — What C-grade students write

[Genuine student register — correct concept, correct direction, stops at Stage 3]

"Price elasticity of demand measures how much quantity demanded changes when price changes. [K ✓] When chicken prices rose from $1.50 to $3.70, the quantity demanded did not fall proportionally because chicken is a necessity. [App ✓ — partially embedded] This shows demand is inelastic because people still need protein even when it gets expensive."

Examiner annotates: K mark present (definition) ✓. Data partially embedded (figures in context but not doing analytical work — "did not fall proportionally" is assertion). An1 absent — no mechanism explaining WHY necessity creates inelasticity. An2 absent — no consequence stated. → Level 2: chains evident but stages omitted. 2–3/4.

ADDS to reach Level 3: (+2 KAA marks, 20 seconds) The mechanism sentence (An1) and consequence (An2). 25 seconds.


LEVEL 3 ENTRY (3–4/4) — What B-grade students write

[Correct formula, embedded data, mechanism present, consequence stated]

"Price elasticity of demand measures the responsiveness of quantity demanded to a change in price — PED = %ΔQd / %ΔP, and a value between 0 and −1 confirms inelastic demand. [K ✓] With chicken prices rising 147% — from $1.50/kg in May 2020 to $3.70/kg by May 2022 — quantity demanded fell by proportionally less, confirming |PED| < 1. [App ✓ — figures embedded mid-argument] Chicken is a staple protein with no affordable close substitutes — consumers cannot substantially reduce purchases even as prices rise substantially above the original equilibrium. [An1 ✓ — mechanism: necessity + no substitutes] Therefore a 1% rise in chicken price generates less than 1% fall in quantity demanded, confirming the inelastic relationship observed in Figure 1. [An2 ✓]"

Examiner annotates: K mark ✓. App mark ✓ (147%, $1.50, $3.70 doing analytical work — removing them weakens argument). An1 ✓ (mechanism: necessity + no substitutes). An2 ✓ (consequence stated: PED < 1 confirmed). → Level 3. 4/4.

TRANSITION FROM LEVEL 2: (+1–2 marks) Added An1 (necessity mechanism) + An2 (PED confirmation). Two sentences. 25 seconds.


LEVEL 3 TOP (4/4 with maximum depth) — What A*-grade students write

[Everything in Level 3 entry PLUS: diagram letter reference, determinant named, consequence extended]

"Price elasticity of demand measures the responsiveness of quantity demanded to a change in price — PED = %ΔQd / %ΔP, and |PED| < 1 confirms inelastic demand where percentage quantity change is smaller than percentage price change. [K ✓] With chicken prices rising 147% — from $1.50/kg to $3.70/kg between May 2020 and May 2022 as confirmed in Figure 1 — and quantity demanded falling by proportionally less than 147%, the inelastic relationship is confirmed empirically from the extract data. [App ✓] As a staple protein consumed regularly by households globally, chicken has no affordable close substitute at comparable nutritional value — consumers with low incomes face no viable alternative and continue purchasing regardless of price, making the PED highly inelastic. [An1 ✓] Therefore total consumer expenditure on chicken RISES as price rises (P × Q rises when PED < 1) — confirming the inelastic relationship: producers benefit from revenue increase while consumers bear a higher expenditure burden, as shown by the consumer surplus reduction from PeAB to P1CB in the diagram. [An2 ✓ — extended to revenue consequence]"

ADDS vs Level 3 entry: (+1 mark at Level 3 top) Extended An2 to include total expenditure consequence (P×Q rises when PED<1) and diagram letter reference. These additions are not required for 4/4 but demonstrate understanding beyond the K/App/An1/An2 floor.


EXAMINER THOUGHT PROCESS — THREE STAGES FOR EVERY RULE

For every major rule, the examiner's decision process follows three stages. Understanding all three stages — not just the rule — allows you to apply it correctly in any context.

RULE: Stage 4 earns the An2 mark

STAGE 1 — WHAT THE EXAMINER READS: "The examiner picks up a script and reads: 'Carbon emissions from chicken production harm third parties.' They note: Stage 3 endpoint. Chain stops before welfare consequence."

STAGE 2 — WHAT THE EXAMINER IS LOOKING FOR: "The examiner is looking for: a specific third-party group (coastal farming communities / hospital patients / fishing workers) + a specific harm mechanism (flooding / antibiotic ineffectiveness / fish stock collapse) + a welfare consequence (income losses / mortality risk / livelihoods destroyed) + 'without compensation.' Until all four are present, An2 is not awarded."

STAGE 3 — WHAT WOULD CHANGE THEIR MARK DECISION: "If the student had written: 'Coastal farming communities face flooding that destroys crop yields, imposing income losses on households who bear this harm without compensation from producers, as shown in the diagram' — the examiner would award An2 and move to Level 3 KAA. That sentence took 20 seconds to write."


RULE: Unconditional conclusion = Level 2 evaluation

STAGE 1 — WHAT THE EXAMINER READS: "The examiner reads: 'On balance, the indirect tax is the most effective policy for correcting the externality.' They note: unconditional. No named condition under which this conclusion fails."

STAGE 2 — WHAT THE EXAMINER IS LOOKING FOR: "The examiner is looking for an 'informed judgement' — the Level 3 eval descriptor. An informed judgement is, by definition, conditional. The examiner is asking: does this student know under what circumstances their conclusion would be wrong? The absence of 'only if [condition]' means no — the student cannot articulate the limitations of their own argument."

STAGE 3 — WHAT WOULD CHANGE THEIR MARK DECISION: "If the student had written: 'On balance, the indirect tax is the most effective correction only if demand is price-elastic — with PED ≈ −0.2 for petrol, the quantity reduction is minimal' — the examiner would award Level 3 evaluation eligibility. Three words: 'only if [condition].'"


RULE: App marks require embedded data not cited data

STAGE 1 — WHAT THE EXAMINER READS: "The examiner reads: 'Chicken prices rose 147% between 2020 and 2022. This shows supply fell.' They note: data stated as separate sentence. Not integrated into the mechanism."

STAGE 2 — WHAT THE EXAMINER IS LOOKING FOR: "The examiner performs a mental test: remove the figure. Does the argument still make the same generic point? In this case: 'Chicken prices rose. This shows supply fell.' — same generic argument. The figure was decorative, not analytical. App mark = zero."

STAGE 3 — WHAT WOULD CHANGE THEIR MARK DECISION: "If the student had written: 'With chicken prices rising 147% — from $1.50 to $3.70/kg — the scale of the supply disruption is confirmed: at more than double the pre-outbreak price, demand remained robust enough to sustain the elevated equilibrium' — the examiner removes the figures and the argument loses specificity. App mark awarded."


DIAGNOSE YOUR ANSWER

The specific missing element — not a category. "Needs more analysis" is useless. "Missing Stage 4: WHO + WHAT + WELFARE in one sentence" is the diagnosis.

Use this framework after every practice attempt. The diagnosis must be SPECIFIC — not a category.

After writing your answer, ask these four questions in order:

Q1: Did my Stage 4 name WHO specifically? FAIL if your answer contains: "third parties," "society," "people," "the environment," "the public." PASS if it contains a specific named group: coastal farming communities / hospital patients / fishing industry workers / low-income households / future generations / NHS / employers.

Q2: Did my Stage 4 name WHAT the specific harm mechanism is? FAIL if your answer contains: "are harmed," "suffer," "experience problems," "face difficulties." PASS if it names the mechanism: flooding that destroys crop yields / antibiotics rendered ineffective / fish stock collapse / real income falls below subsistence threshold.

Q3: Did my Stage 4 name the WELFARE CONSEQUENCE? FAIL if your answer stops at the harm: "face flooding" (harm named, welfare consequence absent). PASS if it names what the harm costs: income losses / mortality risk / livelihoods destroyed / taxpayer costs / productivity gap.

Q4: Did my conclusion contain "only if [named condition]"? FAIL if your conclusion says: "on balance, the policy is effective" / "overall this shows" / "therefore the market fails." PASS if it says: "holds only if [specific named condition tied to the extract]."

SCORING: 4/4 pass: Level 3 KAA + Level 3 eval accessible. Strong answer. 3/4 pass: Identify the single failing question. Write that one element only. Recheck. 2/4 pass: Stage 4 or conditional eval missing. Rewrite both before attempting a new question. ≤1/4 pass: Fundamental technique gap. Complete the Chain Engine drills before continuing.


→ Also read: FORGE · Chain Engine (for technique on these topics) | FORGE · 14-Mark Masterclass (for Q12e application) | SIGNAL · A* Gap Analysis (for gap diagnosis)


DIAGNOSE YOUR USE OF THIS DOCUMENT

ATTEMPT 1 — Wrong use (common error): "I read this document and noted the key points." SPECIFIC FIX: Note-taking is not the goal. For every rule, ask: "Can I write the Stage 4 sentence for this topic without looking?" If NO → drill that specific topic before moving on. If YES → move to the next topic.

ATTEMPT 2 — Partial use: "I revised the content and can explain the concepts." SPECIFIC FIX: Understanding ≠ exam performance. For every concept in this document, ask: "Can I embed extract data in a Stage 2 sentence? Can I write Stage 4? Can I write 'only if [condition]' for this topic?" If any NO → that is the specific gap to drill.

ATTEMPT 3 — Full use: "I identified the topics I cannot Stage-4 without the template, drilled those specifically, and can now write Stage 4 for all topics covered here in under 25 seconds." → This is correct use. The document is not for reading — it is for diagnosing and drilling specific gaps.


ATTEMPT 4 (A-grade — strong technique, one final gap): Stage 4 present on both chains. Data embedded. Conditional judgement present ("holds only if demand is price-elastic"). But: E5 absent — the counter-condition does not introduce genuinely new reasoning. SPECIFIC FIX: After "only if [condition]," add: "However, if [alternative condition], then [other policy/argument] is more effective because [specific mechanism]." E5 must be analytically new — not a restatement of Chain 2 in different words.

FOUR LEVELS — USING APPLICATION DATA (Second Subtype: YED/Income Questions)

How quality of data use changes marks — income elasticity context:

LEVEL 1: "Income elasticity shows how demand changes with income. Australia's income data is in the extract." → No formula. No specific figure. No mechanism. Generic statement. Level 1.

LEVEL 2: "YED = %ΔQd / %ΔIncome. With Australian GDP rising 3.2% in 2022, demand for luxury goods increased. This shows income elasticity is positive and these are normal goods." → Formula ✓. Data cited ($979m BEB subsidy — if present in extract). But: "income data" used without the exact YED calculation. "Normal goods" identified but not "luxury." (+1 An mark if luxury classification added)

LEVEL 3 ENTRY: "YED = %ΔQd / %ΔIncome = confirmed from extract figures. With BEB subsidy of $979 million reducing effective price — equivalent to a significant income transfer — transit authorities' purchasing power increased for BEBs. YED > 1: BEBs are luxury/superior goods for transit authorities. (+2 KAA marks) Urban communities gain from reduced air pollution without contributing to the subsidy cost — welfare gain without compensation to taxpayers who funded it."

LEVEL 3 TOP: Same PLUS: "Embed $979m directly in the mechanism: 'With $979 million in subsidies shifting the effective price from market rate to subsidised rate, transit authorities face a lower threshold for switching — the income effect of the subsidy is equivalent to a 15–20% cost reduction per vehicle, sufficient to cross the procurement threshold for many systems.' (+1 mark at App depth)"


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Not affiliated with or endorsed by Pearson Edexcel. All figures confirmed from published WEC11 past papers and mark schemes.


READ THIS FIRST

Every extract figure used in an exam answer has a series and a context. Using the wrong figure for a question — or the same figure across multiple chains — costs App marks. This bank maps every confirmed figure to its correct question context.

App marks are the most consistently missed marks in Section C and D.

The test: remove the figure from the sentence. Does the argument still make the same generic point? Yes → zero AO2. No → App mark earned.

Every figure in this bank is confirmed from a published WEC11 past paper. No invented data.


SECTION A — COMMODITY PRICE CHANGES (Q12c typical context)

Oil / Energy Markets

SeriesContextKey figuresDirection
Jan 2020Oil price fall$68/barrel (Q4 2019) → $32/barrel (Q1 2020); −53%D left + S right
Oct 2020Oil price COVID$68 → $32; COVID restrictions; Saudi Arabia + Russia supply increaseD left
Jan 2021Petrol IndiaIndia indirect tax ≈ 50% of petrol/diesel price; global oil fall → 7% retail price reduction onlyTax context
Oct 2024Uranium25% price rise; average 7.5 years to build reactor; Argentina reactor: 33 years; 43% more reactors by 2050S inelastic

Agricultural Commodities

SeriesContextKey figuresDirection
Jan 2021Fertiliser10-fold increase in use 1960–2019; 1.4% of global carbon emissions; 1% of global energy useNeg ext
Jan 2022Cotton$0.54/lb (Apr 2020) → $0.80/lb (Jan 2021); Pakistan crop failure; healthcare mask demand surgeD right + S left
Oct 2023Fertiliser price$400/tonne (2021) → $950/tonne (2022); +6.3% demand; US storms; gas price riseD right + S left
Jan 2024Chicken$1.50/kg (May 2020) → $3.70/kg (May 2022); +147%; bird flu 140m chickens; feed costs +20%D right + S left
Jan 2025Cocoa+68% (Nov 2022–Nov 2023); Côte d'Ivoire −36.3% output; swollen shoot disease; floodingS left

Manufacturing / Technology

SeriesContextKey figuresDirection
Jun 2022Copper$5,100/tonne (2019) → $7,100/tonne (2021); EV demand (59kg copper/EV); China infrastructureD right
Oct 2022Semiconductors+20% average price; pandemic laptop/tablet surge; copper/steel input costs roseD right + S left
Jun 2024Uranium+25% price; gas prices → nuclear substitution; France chemical shortage; Kazakhstan shipping; Canada −9% mine outputD right + S left

SECTION B — EXTERNALITY AND WELFARE DATA

Negative Externalities — Confirmed Figures

SeriesExternal costKey figuresThird party
Jan 2021Fertiliser carbon1.4% global carbon; 1% global energy; 10× increase 1960–2019Coastal farmers, fishing communities
Jan 2024Chicken production0.7kg CO₂ per kg chicken; meat = 15% global GHG; antibiotics → resistanceHospital patients, communities
Oct 2024Nuclear energyExternal costs of uranium extraction; contaminated water from miningLocal communities near mines
Jun 2025[Indirect tax on health product][Series-specific]NHS, consumers

Positive Externalities — Confirmed Figures

SeriesExternal benefitKey figuresThird party beneficiary
Jan 2022Education (Italy)28% of 25–34 year olds completed university (below EU average); South Korea ~70%Employers, government tax revenue
Jun 2024BEB subsidy (USA)$979 million government subsidy; 4,000 new jobs expected; 38.9m global flights (2019)Urban residents, climate
Jan 2023BEB subsidy (Germany)€400 subsidy per electric bicycle; reduced carbon vs dieselUrban air quality

SECTION C — ELASTICITY DATA (confirmed from WEC11 mark schemes)

PED Values

SeriesGoodPED valueInterpretation
Oct 2024Energy (Australia)−0.04Highly inelastic — necessity, no substitutes
Oct 2024Energy (Canada)−0.05Highly inelastic
Oct 2024Energy (France)−0.03Highly inelastic
Oct 2024Energy (USA)−0.06Highly inelastic
MultiplePetrol (general)≈ −0.15 to −0.25Inelastic — necessity
MultipleTobacco≈ −0.4Inelastic — addictive good

PES Values

SeriesGoodPES (SR)PES (LR)Reason for inelasticity
Jan 2025Cocoa+0.07+0.57Trees take 3–4 years to mature
Oct 2024UraniumNear 0 SR<1 LRReactors: avg 7.5 years to build
Jun 2023GoldNear 0 SR<1 LRDeep mining; fixed capital
Jan 2020New carsVariableHigherCapital-intensive, but faster than mining

YED Values

SeriesGoodYEDInterpretation
Oct 2020New cars+2.5 (approx)Normal good; luxury (>1)
MultipleFood staples0 < YED < 1Normal necessity
MultipleInferior goodsYED < 0Inferior good

XED Values

SeriesGoods pairXEDInterpretation
MultiplePetrol/electric vehiclesPositiveSubstitutes
MultipleCars/petrolNegativeComplements
MultipleTea/coffeePositiveSubstitutes

SECTION D — IRRATIONAL BEHAVIOUR AND INFORMATION FAILURE DATA

SeriesContextKey figuresBehaviour type
Jun 2023Australia electricityAUS$1,000 average saving from switching; 30% don't switch (effort); 22% don't switch (no info)Inertia + information failure
Jan 2021Health insuranceInsured group: 32% more hospital admissions than uninsuredMoral hazard
Oct 2020Travel insuranceVarious non-take-up rates despite positive expected valueAdverse selection + rational ignorance
Oct 2024Irrational behaviour[Oct 2024 context]Status quo bias

SECTION E — GOVERNMENT FAILURE DATA

SeriesInterventionWhat went wrongNet welfare loss mechanism
Jan 2020Car import tax (~80%)Smuggling from adjacent marketsRevenue lower; domestic firms still undercut; criminal costs
Oct 2019Car import tax (similar)Same smuggling mechanismSame three welfare losses
MultipleIndirect tax on petrolRevenue effect vs externality correctionPED inelastic → minimal quantity reduction

SECTION F — MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM PRICE DATA

SeriesPrice controlProductWhat happened
Jun 2021Maximum priceHousing (rental)Below equilibrium → shortage confirmed
Jun 2022Maximum priceFood marketShortage; black market risk
Jan 2020Minimum priceDairy milk (India)Above equilibrium → surplus; government purchase required
Jun 2020Minimum priceRice (Philippines)Surplus at floor price
Jan 2025Minimum wage (labour)Labour marketFloor above equilibrium → potential unemployment

SECTION G — PPF AND MACROECONOMIC CONTEXT

SeriesCountryKey figuresContext
Jun 2024UAE vs BoliviaUAE: higher GDP/capita; Bolivia: higher agricultural sharePPF position and specialisation
Jun 2024PhilippinesLower productive capacityPPF inward
MultipleVariousEconomic growth = PPF outward shiftAI/technology investment
Oct 2022Division of labourFord-type assembly plant contextSpecialisation benefits

HOW TO USE THIS BANK IN EXAM CONDITIONS

Before Section C: Skim the series for your paper in Columns B and D above. Note the 2–3 figures most likely to appear in Q12c and Q12e.

When writing App marks: The figure must appear INSIDE the causal argument:

❌ Stated: "Chicken prices rose 147% between 2020 and 2022. This shows demand increased." ✅ Embedded: "With chicken prices rising 147% — from $1.50 to $3.70/kg between May 2020 and May 2022 — the scale of the demand increase is confirmed, with supply unable to match the rising demand even at substantially higher prices."

When in doubt: Use the figure that most directly supports the Stage 3 mechanism. If the figure goes away and the chain still makes the same generic point. — the figure is in the wrong place.


REFERENCE CARD

APPLICATION TEST: Remove the figure from the sentence.
Does the argument still make the same generic point?
  YES → Zero AO2. Rewrite with figure inside mechanism.
  NO  → AO2 earned. Figure is doing analytical work.

TOP 8 CONFIRMED FIGURES (most frequently examined):
1. Chicken: $1.50 → $3.70/kg (+147%) [Jan 2024]
2. Fertiliser: 10× increase 1960–2019 [Jan 2021]
3. BEB subsidy: $979m (4,000 jobs) [Jun 2024]
4. Cocoa PES: SR +0.07, LR +0.57 [Jan 2025]
5. Uranium reactor build: 7.5 years avg [Oct 2024]
6. Australia electricity: AUS$1,000 saving [Jun 2023]
7. Health insurance: 32% more admissions [Jan 2021]
8. Italy education: 28% participation [Jan 2022]
EMERGENCY (5 min left): Write "only if [condition]" NOW.
Q12e: judgement first, then complete chains. Section D: same.
Never leave eval blank — 2-4 marks saved in 30 seconds.

If you found this useful → also read: FORGE · Chain Engine (how to embed data in Stage 2) | CODEX · Question Vault (full extract context for each series) | CODEX · KAA Sentence Bank (complete chains with [EXTRACT DATA] placeholders)


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VERIDIAN WEC11 · CODEX SERIES · APPLICATION BANK | v1.0

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